Key Takeaways
1. Analyst Welfare estimates Xbox Series X and S sales at around 37 million units, while leaker KeplerL2 suggests the number is below 30 million.
2. AMD’s fiscal report indicates over 100 million current-generation consoles sold, with PS5 sales accounting for 75 million and Steam Deck sales around 4 million, leaving an estimate of 21 million Xbox consoles.
3. Conflicting sales data from manufacturers and publishers contributes to confusion, with Take-Two Interactive reporting at least 94 million current-gen consoles sold, including around 27 million Xbox units.
4. VGChartz reports over 32 million Xbox Series X|S consoles sold, indicating a potential middle ground between the conflicting estimates.
5. The PlayStation continues to lead in console sales, and analysts expect the gap to widen as Xbox struggles in the market.
Recently, different insiders have provided varying estimates on how many Xbox Series X and S consoles have been sold throughout their lifetime. Analyst Welfare stated that Microsoft has sold roughly 37 million units globally. However, due to a slowdown in sales, some gamers are skeptical about this number. Notably, the well-known leaker KeplerL2 argues that a more precise estimate is actually below 30 million units.
Conflicting Reports on Sales
KeplerL2’s claim is based on a fiscal report from AMD for the fourth quarter of 2024, which mentioned that over 100 million current-generation consoles had been sold. The report tracks how many chips are sold for the PS5, Xbox Series X|S, and even the Steam Deck. Earlier in 2025, Sony announced that it had sold just over 75 million PS5 consoles by the end of 2024. By taking 75 million away from the 100 million total and estimating around 4 million Steam Deck sales, it leaves 21 million units sold for Xbox consoles.
Confusion Among Estimates
A lot of the misunderstanding comes from conflicting information shared by manufacturers and game publishers. In February 2025, Take-Two Interactive announced that at least 94 million current-gen consoles had been sold by the end of November 2024. The PS5 made up 65.6 million of those sales as of September. If we factor in additional sales up to the end of November, Microsoft could have sold around 27 million Xbox Series X|S consoles.
KeplerL2 concludes that the most hopeful estimation for Xbox console sales is even lower than Welfare’s 37 million prediction. However, the reality might be somewhere in between the two figures. VGChartz gathers data from various retail sources for its rankings. Its latest report shows that over 32 million Xbox Series X|S consoles have been tracked in sales.
The Future of Console Sales
Fans closely follow KeplerL2 due to his leaks about consoles under development, including specifications for the PS6. Because of this, some of his critics believe that analyzing sales might not be his strongest suit. Nevertheless, it is evident that PlayStation’s lead over the struggling Xbox consoles is likely to widen in the coming months.
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